Turkey’s ruling AK
Party has lost its single party majority, while the Kurdish-focussed HDP secures
its first seats as a national party in the Turkish Parliament having broken
through the 10% election barrier.
Turnout for yesterday’s General Election was 86.63% from a
possible electorate of 53.7 million, including over one million first-time
voters who have turned 18 since the last elections. With 99.99% of all ballot boxes
counted, the polling results for the four main parties are as follows:
AKP %
40.86 – 258 MPs
CHP % 24.96
– 132 MPs
MHP %
16.29 – 80 MPs
HDP % 13.12
– 80 MPs
It means AKP is 18 seats short of an overall majority, spelling
the end of its 13-year single-party rule. The election results also check the
plans of former AKP leader, President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan to change the
governance of Turkey
into a Presidential system.
As HDP and other opposition party supporters celebrated, AKP
government officials and supporters appeared glum as the news emerged that they
had lost huge electoral support and seats in Parliament.
 |
| Turnout was 86.63% for Turkey's General Election. Photo: Milliyet |
Winners and losers
While the political map of Turkey remains the yellow of AKP,
which came first in most districts across the country, its popular vote has
slipped by nearly 10%. That and a fourth party – HDP – entering Parliament have
seen the number of AKP MPs tumble.
Since coming into power in 2002, AKP has seen its share of vote
increase at each General Election. In 2011 the party, then headed by Erdoğan,
secured 49.8% of the vote and won 327 seats. The party had seemed unstoppable,
further cementing its place as Turkey’s
governing party when Erdoğan took the presidential elections in the first round
in 2014 with 52% of the vote. All this is set to change following the 2015 elections.
The main opposition party CHP did not perform as well as it had
expected. Its support and number of MPs marginally decreased from its 2011
polling (down 3 seats and 1% votes) with some CHP voters backing HDP instead to
ensure the smaller party would make it into Parliament. MHP enjoyed a 3%
increase in its popular vote and its MPs leapt from 53 to 80.
In previous elections, Kurdish-focussed politicians had stood as
independents to overcome the exceptionally high 10% national vote threshold.
The 30 candidates who entered the last Parliament as independents then came
together under a common political umbrella.
 |
| Selahattin Demirtaş at election rally on 24th May. Photo: NRT TV |
Buoyed by the strong polling of HDP co-leader Selahattin Demirtaş in
last year’s presidential elections, where he received just under 10% of the vote,
the party decided to stand nationwide. The gamble paid off as it now enters
Parliament with 13% of the vote and 80 MPs.
MPs close to the Fetullah Gülen Movement (also known as Cemaat)
saw its support base collapse in 2015. Former AKP MP Hakan Şükür and his fellow
Cemaat colleagues Ali Fuat Yılmazer, Yakup Saygılı and Yurt Atayün all polled
1% or less, meaning they have no voice in the new Parliament.
Women and minority representation goes up
Turkey's 25th
parliamentary election sees a rise in the number of women deputies elected,
increasing from 79 in 2011 to 96 in 2015. HDP had made a big point of ensuring
there was a nearly 50:50% gender split among its candidates, which has helped
increase the overall numbers.
The most number of female deputies are in AKP with 41, followed by
HDP with 31 female MPs, then CHP on 20, and finally MHP with a mere four out of
its 80 MPs.
Another breakthrough in the 7th June elections is that Turkey’s
Christian population will be represented by four deputies in the new
Parliament. Three Armenian Turks have been voted in as MPs for Istanbul: Markar Esayan, a journalist for the
pro-AKP daily Yeni Şafak, becomes an AKP deputy, lawyer Selina Doğan was
elected for CHP, along with HDP’s Garo Paylan – a trainer on the Supreme
Election Board. Lawyer Erol Dora, who is a member of Turkey’s Syriac community, is one
of three HDP MPs elected in Mardin.
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| Selina Doğan, a Christian and of Armenian heritage, becomes a CHP deputy |
Özcan Purçu becomes the first openly Roma candidate to enter
Parliament. He won for CHP in Izmir
province.
HDP’s two Yazidi heritage candidates, Felaknas Uca and Ali Atalan, are
also elected as MPs.
Major policy issues
Among the major policy battles in these elections were the economy.
The opposition parties homed in on Turkey’s worsening economic
climate, while the ruling party pointed to its successful track record since
coming into office in 2002. All the main parties struck a mature note in the
debate, stepping away from populism to promise key reforms and measures to put
the Turkish economy back on a strong footing.
Other key issues in party manifestos included freedom of speech in
Turkey, foreign policy (from the Cyprus Issue to EU entry, and the
Syrian conflict), addressing the decades-old Kurdish Problem, reforming the
judiciary and higher education systems, and changes to the governance of Turkey,
with AKP backing a shift to a presidential system.
It follows President Erdoğan’s naked ambition to boost his powers
following his election to the country’s top post last year. He has already broken
with constitutional rules by chairing cabinet meetings and openly supporting
AKP in the General Elections, while constantly slamming the opposition parties
at public rallies. His non-partisan role and strident comments, along with numerous luxury purchases including a new opulent 1,150-room Presidential palace
that cost Turkish taxpayers $615 million, has jarred with many voters.
 |
| President Erdoğan poses in AK Saray, his new 1,150-room palace that cost taxpayers $615 million. Photo: AFP/Getty |
The scandals that have dogged AKP in recent years have also come
to the fore during the elections. The failure of the government to try those
implicated by major corruption allegations, including Erdoğan’s son and four
Government Ministers, led to the party being dubbed “Thieving AKP” during the
election campaign.
AKP received a further shock when leading Turkish daily Cumhuriyet
published new evidence that seems to counter government claims that its
intelligence agency sent aid to Turkmens: Cumhuriyet’s evidence shows arms in MIT-operated trucks being driven to Syrian Islamist opposition fighters. With
the second anniversary of the Gezi Uprising falling during the election
campaign, the government’s anti-democratic crackdowns were sharply back in
focus too, particularly among Turkey’s
first-time youth voters.
Overseas Turkish voters back AKP and HDP
Since 2012, Turkish citizens living abroad have also had the
opportunity to vote in Turkey’s
elections. This year, one in three of a possible 3 million people exercised
this right, casting their vote at one of the 112 polling booths opened around
the world and at Turkey’s
customs points.
AKP fared well with ex-pat voters taking just under 50% of all
votes cast, while HDP also polled strongly with 21%. CHP and MHP won 16.95% and
9.14% respectively.
AKP came first in territories such as France,
Germany, Australia, North Cyprus, Norway, Algeria,
Iran, Saudi Arabia
and several central Asian countries including Ozbekistan. HDP topped the polls
in the UK, Canada, Sweden,
Finland, Ukraine, Poland,
Italy and Japan. While
its share of vote was lower than HDP, CHP won in multiple states including the USA, Eire, Spain, South
Africa, Russia,
China, and the Czech Republic.
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| Long queues formed outside Olympia, London as overseas voters cast their vote in the Turkish General Elections |
Violence mars run-up to General
Election
Tensions were high throughout the election campaign, with multiple
violent clashes – some deadly – between opposing supporters.
HDP claims its members have suffered over 140 attacks in the
run-up to the 2015 General Election, including two bomb blasts at its final rally
in Diyarbakır
on Friday, which killed two and wounded at least 200. Two days earlier, a
35-year-old driver of one of HDP’s campaign vehicles was shot dead in Bingol,
in eastern Turkey,
his bus raked with bullets.
Last month, two of HDP’s political bureaus in Adana
and Mersin were
also targeted by bombers, one exploding just moments before Selahattin Demirtaş
was due to arrive for a pre-rally meeting.
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| Outside HDP’s political bureau in Adana, which was destroyed following a bomb blast in May |
In May, AKP candidate Ramazan Demir was stabbed in the stomach
while campaigning in the Aladağ district, in Adana. In February, Fırat Yılmaz Çakıroğlu, a
youth leader for MHP, was stabbed to death by Kurdish militants during a fight on
the Ege University campus.
Security was stepped up for Election Day with 300,000 police
officers on duty supported by some 100,000 gendarmerie.
Responses to the 2015 election results
The BBC’s Mark Lowen said: “In
a volatile Middle East, Turkey matters greatly - and so the path it takes, the
nature of its democracy and the leaders it produces, all have implications far
beyond its borders.”
Trying to put on a brave face, Turkish PM Ahmet Davutoğlu told his
supporters that “Everyone should know
that the AKP is the winner of this election…[that this party is] the backbone
of Turkey."
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| PM Ahmet Davutoğlu tries to put on a brave face after his party loses parliamentary majority |
HDP deputy and actor Sirri Sureyya Onder countered by saying: "This was a victory of democracy over
political corruption... of peace over war."
His party co-leader Demirtaş told a news conference in Istanbul that, "The
discussion of executive presidency and dictatorship have come to an end in Turkey
with these elections."
With no outright winner, talk has turned to which parties will
form a coalition government and whether an early general election will be
needed to try and shift the power balance.
The election results have also prompted jitters on the stock exchange.
The Turkish lira traded near a record lows on June 8 as nervous investors
reacted to the prospects of a minority or coalition government.
